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Just The Sports: Colt Brennan

Just The Sports

Wednesday, January 17, 2007

Colt Brennan

When I first heard that Colt Brennan was thinking of leaving the University of Hawaii a year early for the NFL, I was immediately skeptical. Here, I thought, was another college quarterback whose passing numbers had been puffed up as a result of being in a pass-happy offense, numbers that would be unable to withstand a stiff gust of wind.

Yet, that does not seem to be the entire case at all. If Brennan were indeed only the product of being in June Jones's offense and had not real quarterbacking talent, then his career numbers would closely resemble those of Timmy Chang, who was the starting quarterback predecessor to Brennan, in the same way Brian Brohm had been no better than Stefan LeFors at the time I compared those two University of Louisville quarterbacks.

Instead, Brennan's numbers have blown Chang's away. In his two years as Hawaii's starting quarterback, Brennan completed 70.5% of his pass attempts and netted 9.2 yards per pass attempt, much better than what Chang did during his time as a Warrior when he only had a completion percentage of 57.2% to go along with his 7.1 yards per pass attempt.

Since there is such a wide disparity between the two quarterbacks' statistics, the logical question to ask would be whether Jones changed the offense after Chang graduated, allowing Chang's successors to achieve a higher degree of success. The answer to this logical question is that while Brennan averaged 6.2 less pass attempts per game than Chang did, when the yards per reception are compared between the two quarterbacks, the numbers prove themselves to be incredibly similar (Chang's 12.4 to Brennan's 13.0) so any change June Jones made to the offense was insignificant at best meaning it could not be the prevailing reason for Brennan's superior quarterback play. Therefore, without a shadow of a doubt, the reason why Brennan put up better numbers than Chang is because he is a significantly better quarterback.

Even though Brennan has completed such a high number of pass attempts does not automatically mean that he will have great success on the NFL level. He did, after all, still come from an offense that inflates a quarterback's passing numbers, which is a fact not to be quickly forgotten even with what my research proved. Being a better quarterback than Timmy Chang only makes Brennan a better NFL prospect than what Chang was, but it does not mean he is automatically one of the best draft-eligible quarterbacks in the nation.

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