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Just The Sports: 2010-07-25

Just The Sports

Sunday, July 25, 2010

A Not So Bold Prediction

If I may, I want to give a word of advice to everyone who is currently waiting with bated breath as Alex Rodriguez chases his 600th home run, which will make him only the seventh player in major league history to accomplish that feat. Save the battery for your digital cameras, rest your legs by sitting down when Rodriguez comes to bat, and do not waste your DVR space by recording the Yankees' games. Based on Rodriguez's home run production this season, he will play in at least three more games before hitting his milestone home run.

Rodriguez has amassed 395 plate appearances and hit sixteen home runs this season while playing in ninety games. This output puts his home run rate at one home run per 24.7 plate appearances and in ninety games, Rodriguez has found himself in the batter's box 4.4 times per game.

Since Rodriguez's 599th home run, he has had ten plate appearances and unsurprisingly considering his season's home run history, he has not hit another one. Due to the fact he needs around fifteen more plate appearances to be due to hit a round-tripper and that he will need around three and one half games to reach that mark, Rodriguez's 600th home run should not occur before Wednesday against the Cleveland Indians.

Although Rodriguez does hit home runs closely together some times, he has been just as likely this season to go a good amount of games between blasts. This time he will more than likely have to play through at least three complete games before joining the exclusive 600 home run list.